Where the Next Bull Run Will Be Fought: Two Asset Classes That Will Survive the Burnout
Regulation
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IvyLion
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We burned out trying to own the future. I sat on a hillside in Benguet last week, reading the shutdown notice of a protocol I had audited in 2020. $40 million raised, 200,000 users on day one, a beautiful UI. But its treasury was empty. The team had placed everything on being the "infrastructure for the next bull run." They had the best intentions, the strongest technical execution. But intention does not pay the sequencer fees when the hype fades. I have seen this story repeat across four cycles: ICO mania, DeFi Summer, NFT fever, and now the post-Dencun silences. Each cycle promises a new main battlefield, and each cycle leaves behind a mountain of burned-out founders and broken tokens. The question for 2026 is not whether a bull run will come—it will—but which asset classes will still be standing when the music stops.
Context is everything. In 2017, I pored over 40 whitepapers for my series "The Silicon Mirage." Most promised decentralized everything, but delivered nothing. The ones that survived—Ethereum, Binance Chain—were not the loudest; they were the ones that had a real use case beyond speculation. By 2020, during DeFi Summer, I interviewed a dozen early yield farmers. They were exhausted, chasing infinite yields on protocols that had no sustainable revenue. One farmer told me, "We are all renting our time to the liquidity pools." That interview became the seed of "The Illusion of Decentralized Wealth." The narrative of easy money masked a deeper truth: the assets that survived the 2021 crash were not the flashiest farming tokens but the ones that offered real yield—like staked ETH or stablecoins. The pattern is clear: every bull market's main battlefield is not where the hype is, but where the economic gravity is.
Now we are in the deep bear of 2025-2026. Total value locked across DeFi has fallen to levels not seen since 2021. The surviving protocols are those with real revenue: Uniswap, Aave, and a handful of L1s that have achieved product-market fit. But the media narrative still chases the next big thing: AI agents, memecoins, restaking derivatives. I have seen this before. The market is always looking for the next battlefield, but it rarely looks at the supply chain that powers it. Based on my experience auditing social implications of yield farming, I have come to believe that the next bull run will be fought on two specific asset classes that most people overlook because they are "boring": (1) high-throughput sovereign L1s that can handle mass adoption without gas spikes, and (2) yield-bearing stable asset protocols that tokenize real-world income streams.
Let me start with the first class: scalable sovereign L1s. We have seen the Dencun upgrade lower L2 fees temporarily, but as I warned in my analysis of blob saturation, the relief is short-lived. Within two years, blob space will be congested again, and rollup gas fees will double. The market has placed its bet on Layer 2s as the future of scaling, but the data tells a different story. Look at Solana's daily active addresses: they have grown from 200,000 in early 2023 to over 1.5 million in Q1 2026. Its transaction count dwarfs Ethereum L1 and all L2s combined. Yet the market still dismisses it as a „gaming chain." That is the same mistake made in 2020 when Ethereum was called a „NFT chain. " The reality is that high-throughput L1s that have achieved decentralization and low fees are the foundation for the next wave of consumer applications. They are not just infrastructure; they are the soil in which the new economy grows. We burned out trying to own the future, but the future is being built on these chains right now, quietly.
The second class is yield-bearing stable asset protocols. These are the real sleeper. Since the Terra collapse, the market has been allergic to algorithmic stablecoins. But a new generation has emerged that tokenizes real-world assets: US Treasuries, corporate bonds, even carbon credits. Protocols like Ondo Finance, Mountain Protocol, and Ethena have grown their supplies to billions of dollars. The key difference is that these assets are not reliant on speculative demand. They generate yield from real economic activity. In my 2020 interviews, the most resilient participants were those who focused on stable yield generation—not chasing the highest APY but building positions in assets that would survive a downturn. These protocols do exactly that: they provide a store of value that earns a return, without the volatility of ETH or BTC. As regulatory clarity improves—especially in Hong Kong, which is using licensing to steal Singapore's financial hub status—these assets will become the on-ramp for institutional capital. The next bull run will not be powered by new speculators; it will be powered by old money seeking yield in a low-rate world.
But here is the contrarian angle. The market narrative currently points to AI-agent tokens and memecoins as the next main battlefield. They are flashy, they are loud, and they generate massive short-term returns. But they are also the most fragile. I have seen this playbook: during the NFT frenzy of 2021, I retreated to a cabin in Benguet to process my disillusionment. I wrote "Soulless Tokens" because I recognized that the hype was disconnected from any sustainable value. The same is happening now. AI-agent tokens have no intrinsic revenue; they rely on the narrative that AI will transform crypto. But the underlying technology is still immature, and most agents are just wrappers around LLM APIs. The real opportunity lies in the boring stuff: the chains that process the transactions and the stablecoins that settle them. The market is looking at the fireworks, but the main battlefield is the artillery behind the lines. My analysis of the 2022 crash showed that the protocols that survived were those with the most resilient treasuries—not the most viral marketing. We burned out trying to own the future, but the future does not want to be owned; it wants to be rented through sustainable assets.
So where does that leave us? The next bull run will arrive when central banks eventually cut rates, likely in 2027. By then, the two asset classes I have described will be positioned for massive adoption. High-throughput L1s will have proven their reliability, and yield-bearing stablecoins will have become the default on-ramp for institutions. The risk is that we repeat the mistakes of the past: chasing the narrative of the moment instead of focusing on fundamental value. I remember the ICO mania, the DeFi Summer, the NFT explosion—each left behind a trail of burned-out believers. The next bull run will not be kind to those who speculatively buy every new token. It will reward those who have been accumulating the bedrock assets that power the ecosystem. The main battlefield is not in the headlines; it is in the quiet accumulation of productive value.
We burned out trying to own the future. But the future, it turns out, is not a territory to be conquered. It is a landscape to be cultivated. The two asset classes—scalable L1s and yield-bearing stablecoins—are the seeds. The next bull market will be the harvest.